Case studies / tfe-2024

The Final Experiment: The Midnight Sun, Live

Dec 14-17, 2024
The Final Experiment: The Midnight Sun, Live
GSFC_20171208_Archive_e001866 - Satellite view of Antarctica, where the experiment was run. NASA.

Prediction

In the flat model the Sun is a small disc that always rises and sets - in Antarctica it should do the same, so a 24-hour Sun there is impossible. The expedition's ground rules (agreed by both sides before departure): if the Sun is observed above the horizon for 24 continuous hours at Union Glacier, the flat model is refuted.

The test

Will Duffy (a Colorado pastor) spent three years arranging the trip: 4 flat Earthers and 4 globe Earthers flew from Punta Arenas, Chile to Union Glacier Camp (~79° S, a privately operated camp), ~$35,000 per person. They livestreamed from the camp for three days (Dec 14-16) via Starlink, and ran extra checks: a 360-degree timelapse of the Sun circling the sky, flight timelapses, a paper + digital boarding pass (with EXIF GPS data), on-site weight measurements, and a 'no green screens' verification video. MCToon participated and published his $40,000 crowdfunding expenses and receipts.

The result

The 24-hour Sun was observed and livestreamed: near the December solstice the Sun circled the sky at Union Glacier without setting - at ~79° S it stays between ~12° and ~34° above the horizon all day. The participating flat Earthers admitted it on camera: Jeran Campanella said his model was 'no longer valid' and later stepped away from the community; Witsit admitted being wrong about the 24-hour Sun but said he was still open to the Earth being flat.

The reaction

The wider flat-earth community largely rejected the result: the footage was claimed to be a 'dome studio' or green screen, one pastor suggested 'Satan created a fireball to act as a false Sun', and some accused Duffy of using church funds (which he denied). Duffy: 'The flat Earth community is imploding. They cannot decide what to believe.'

Why it matters

This is prediction → test → result in action. The flat model made a specific, checkable prediction (no 24-hour Sun in Antarctica); the test was run with multiple independent cameras and witnesses from both sides; the result matched the globe model. When a model survives contact with reality by adding a new conspiracy (dome, fireball, stolen funds), it is no longer doing science - it is unfalsifiable by design.

Sources

  1. Wikipedia - The Final Experiment (expedition) [1]
  2. MCToon - TFE hub (his participation, receipts, live streams, news links) [2]
  3. IFL Science - coverage of the expedition [3]